Becker's Healthcare March 25, 2024
By 2036, the U.S. could see a shortage of up to 86,000 physicians — a smaller estimate from what the Association of American Medical Colleges reported in their 2019 forecast.
In 2019, the AAMC forecasted the shortfall would be up to 124,000 by 2033. The group said the difference in the latest projections reflects a new set of scenarios based on “hypothetical future growth in the number of medical residency positions nationwide,” and warned that, without continued investments in graduate medical education, the nation will end up seeing a much larger shortfall that more closely mirrors the previous estimate of up to 124,000.
The nation’s increasing demand for physicians is driven by two primary factors: population growth (8.4% between...
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