4sight Health March 25, 2025
David W. Johnson, Paul Kusserow

On June 18, 1914, a lone assassin from Bosnia shot and killed Austria’s Archduke Ferdinand and his wife Sophia. The victims were sitting in an open motorized carriage that had stalled outside a café in Sarajevo. Their sudden deaths sparked the outbreak of World War I, which lasted five years and killed 20 million people.

Like the grain of sand that triggers a sandpile avalanche, no one could have predicted the assassination’s catastrophic impact. Even after the fact, the reasons for WWI’s outbreak remain murky and subject to debate.

As Europe stumbled toward WWI, the continent’s geopolitical character transitioned from relative stability into disequilibrium. Rising militarism, economic rivalries, nationalism, regional tensions, power imbalances and imperfect treaty alliances created a network...

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