Becker's Healthcare December 29, 2025
Patsy Newitt

Across all physician specialties in the U.S., there is a projected shortage of 141,160 full-time equivalent physicians in 2038, according to a December report from the Health Resources and Services Administration.

Here’s a breakdown of specialties based on projected supply and demand adequacy for physician full-time equivalents in 2038:

  • Vascular surgery: 66%
  • Ophthalmology: 72%
  • Thoracic surgery: 73%
  • Plastic surgery: 74%
  • Family medicine: 76%
  • Hospital medicine: 78%
  • Allergy and immunology: 83%
  • Anesthesiology: 83%
  • General...

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