Becker's Healthcare December 29, 2025
Across all physician specialties in the U.S., there is a projected shortage of 141,160 full-time equivalent physicians in 2038, according to a December report from the Health Resources and Services Administration.
Here’s a breakdown of specialties based on projected supply and demand adequacy for physician full-time equivalents in 2038:
- Vascular surgery: 66%
- Ophthalmology: 72%
- Thoracic surgery: 73%
- Plastic surgery: 74%
- Family medicine: 76%
- Hospital medicine: 78%
- Allergy and immunology: 83%
- Anesthesiology: 83%
- General...







