Forbes January 26, 2026
The AI executives are at it again, promising human-level machines in the near future. In Davos, the CEOs of Google DeepMind and Anthropic each doubled down on the near-term arrival of artificial general intelligence – the hypothetical capacity for a machine to do most anything a human can – giving it 50% odds of arriving by 2030 and expecting it to arrive this year or next, respectively.
Is AI overpromised? Will the hype cost us dearly when the widespread narrative is recognized as overzealous and disillusionment sets in? Or is human-level machine intelligence around the corner?
As hard as I’ve argued against the AI hype, I have to admit that it’s a religious debate. We’re not approaching consensus. There will...
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