Health Affairs October 23, 2024
Sumedha Gupta, Christopher Behrer, Velda Wang, Jessica S. Banthin, M. Kate Bundorf

Abstract

In anticipation of the end of the COVID-19 public health emergency, Congress ended the Medicaid continuous coverage requirement on March 31, 2023, allowing states to terminate coverage for ineligible people and resume eligibility determinations through a process known as unwinding. Although administrative data have documented substantial declines in Medicaid enrollment since April 2023, the impact on uninsurance is unknown. Using data from the Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey, we estimated the early effect of Medicaid unwinding on insurance coverage among people ages 19–64. We found that within the first three months of unwinding, the number of people self-reporting Medicaid coverage declined by approximately two million, and there was a much smaller, statistically insignificant decline in overall coverage of approximately...

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