Becker's Healthcare April 20, 2017
Depending on the amount of risk physicians choose to take on under the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act, hospitals’ Medicare revenue could drop by $250 billion by 2030 or it could increase by $32 billion, according to a study published in Health Affairs.
The study estimates the effect of MACRA on physician and hospital Medicare revenue under various scenarios using the RAND Corporation’s Health Care Payment and Delivery Simulation Model. Unfortunately for physicians the outlook is less favorable — their Medicare revenue is expected to drop by billions of dollars in all scenarios. Physicians’ Medicare revenue will decline between $35 billion and $106 billion from 2015 to 2030, according to the study.
The researchers examined three MACRA scenarios based...