STAT February 28, 2024
Wendell Potter, Philip Verhoef

In 2023, enrollment in Medicare Advantage, the version of Medicare run by private insurers, surpassed 50% of eligible beneficiaries for the very first time. Going by this headline, or perhaps the predictable flood of advertisements for plans during the fall’s open enrollment period, you might be fooled into thinking 2023 was MA’s best year yet. In fact, the opposite is true.

Investors in MA insurance companies experienced a rude awakening in late January, with insurer stocks plummeting in the face of earnings reports showing profits falling far below expectations in the last quarter of 2023. Companies like CVS Health and UnitedHealth Group saw losses of 5.2% and 6.2% respectively, while Humana, whose business model relies heavily on the MA program,...

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