Health Affairs January 1, 2025
Meghan Bellerose, Hannah O. James, Jay Shroff, Andrew M. Ryan, and David J. Meyers

Abstract

Under the current Medicare Advantage (MA) risk-adjustment system, plans are incentivized to report diagnosis codes on enrollees’ medical claims reflecting additional and more severe health conditions to increase enrollees’ risk scores and corresponding plan payments. To improve the integrity of risk adjustment, researchers have proposed four alternative methods to construct risk scores: calculate Hierarchical Condition Categories (HCC) scores excluding diagnosis codes from health risk assessments and chart reviews, calculate HCC scores excluding diagnosis codes most subject to score inflation, use pharmaceutical claims alone, and use self-reported survey responses alone or in combination...

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