Forbes November 3, 2024
Leopold Aschenbrenner’s “Situational Awareness” manifesto made waves when it was published this summer.
In this provocative essay, Aschenbrenner—a 22-year-old wunderkind and former OpenAI researcher—argues that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be here by 2027, that artificial intelligence will consume 20% of all U.S. electricity by 2029, and that AI will unleash untold powers of destruction that within years will reshape the world geopolitical order.
Aschenbrenner’s startling thesis about exponentially accelerating AI progress rests on one core premise: that AI will soon become powerful enough to carry out AI research itself, leading to recursive self-improvement and runaway superintelligence.
The idea of an “intelligence explosion” fueled by self-improving AI is not new. From Nick Bostrom’s seminal 2014 book Superintelligence to the popular...
Today's Sponsors
Today's Sponsor