AXIOS August 26, 2025
AI is dimming job prospects for less-experienced workers, according to a first-of-its-kind Stanford study.
Why it matters: There’s been significant anecdotal evidence of an AI-related slowdown in hiring for certain jobs, but new data shows a real and measurable impact for entry-level workers.
Driving the news: Using ADP payroll data, Stanford researchers found that employment for younger workers (ages 22–25) in AI-impacted jobs — like software development and customer support — has dropped by 16% since late 2022.
- “There’s definitely evidence that AI is beginning to have a big effect,” economist and Stanford professor Erik Brynjolfsson told Axios.
- What’s notable is the speed with which the job impact has gone from theoretical to real and significant. “This is the...







