Forbes January 1, 2025
Joshua P. Cohen

It’s time to offer up some predictions for 2025. Spoiler alert, they’re not particularly positive expectations, for the economy or public health. But before I get to that, a few words on prognosticating. Crystal ball gazing is invariably a dubious activity, especially in areas such as the economy, public health and politics that are so prone to confounding factors. Despite this, it can be a useful exercise. And it’s interesting to analyze from year to year what I predicted correctly and what I got wrong.

As a health economist writing on the Forbes platform, my so-called swim lanes are healthcare and public health. But given the impact that politics and the economy have on the healthcare sector I also closely...

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