AXIOS June 23, 2024
Leopold Aschenbrenner — formerly of OpenAI’s Superalignment team, now founder of an investment firm focused on artificial general intelligence (AGI) — has posted a massive, provocative essay putting a long lens on AI’s future.
Why it matters: Aschenbrenner, based in San Francisco, relies on lots of speculation and projection. So none of this is set in stone. But his opus is a useful, eye-opening synthesis of high-level Silicon Valley conversations.
Here are 10 takeaways that leaped out in Aschenbrenner’s 50,000-word, five-chapter, 165-page paper, “Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead”:
1. “Trust the trendlines … The trendlines are intense, and they were right.”
- “The magic of deep learning is that it just works — and the trendlines have been astonishingly consistent,...
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