Keckley Report January 23, 2023
In its latest assessment of the U.S. physician workforce, the venerable Association of Academic Medical Centers (AAMC) projects a shortage of between 17,800 and 48,000 primary care physicians by 2034.
“The demand projections reflect changing demographics as the population grows and ages, the rapidly growing supply of advanced practice registered nurses (APRNs) and physician assistants (PAs), and other important trends in health care such as a growing emphasis on achieving population health goals. Because it is impossible to predict with certainty the degree to which any scenario will transpire, the projected shortages are presented as a range under the most likely scenarios rather than as a single number.”
Appropriately so. A shortage in primary care physicians has been a staple...
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