Healthcare Economist August 14, 2023
Jason Shafrin

How much money will IRA save Medicare? A paper by Hernandez et al. (2023) aims to answer this question. The methods they use are as follows:

For the 10 drugs likely subject to negotiation by Medicare in 2026 based on 2020 gross spending and loss of exclusivity, we extracted 2020 data from 5 sources: (1) net sales from SSR Health; (2) total units sold in the United States from IQVIA National Sales Perspective data; (3) 2020 Part D claims from a 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries; (4) units and spending from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) spending dashboards; and (5) drug age from the US Food and Drug Administration website.

Based on this approach, the...

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